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回复:2025年ZJX台风自评

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IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端33楼2025-01-31 22:13
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    Special Tropical weather outlook
    12z/31/01/2025
    For the West Pasific and the South China Sea
    Area of interast one
    An area of low pressure area is possible to form offshore south Philippines. But it is unlikely for it to intensify into a tropical cyclone due to strong mid-level windshear.
    1 day formation possibility less than 1 percent
    2 day formation possibility 1 percent
    5 day formation possibility 5 percent
    7 day formation possibility 10 percent


    IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端34楼2025-01-31 22:27
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      10S正式开工,09S正在进行数据侦查阶段


      IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端35楼2025-02-01 13:57
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        Special Tropical weather outlook
        12z/01/02/2025
        For the West Pasific and the South China Sea
        Area of interast one
        Areas of thunderstorms is forming offshore southeastern Philippines. And an area of low pressure area is possible to form by Wednesday. But it is unlikely for it to intensify into a tropical cyclone due to strong mid-level windshear and low moisture.
        1 day formation possibility less than 1 percent
        2 day formation possibility 1 percent
        5 day formation possibility 5 percent
        7 day formation possibility 15 percent


        IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端36楼2025-02-01 14:10
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          插个楼,不知道lz知道Natyphoon吗上面既有直接绘制路径图的工具,又有TY4(准确叫Typhoon4)(“下载”界面,比主页的工具功能更齐全)。可以用路径图的形式对其进行存档。
          如果要画路径图,lz需要用报文的形式输入指定数据,B站上有个关于报文的讲解不错,贴在这:
          https://www.bilibili.com/opus/473147787906240071
          Typhoon4使用教程:https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tj411f7c6/
          这两天要有空尝试把lz自评的路径图都补上


          IP属地:山东37楼2025-02-01 16:05
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            卷眼的西澳气旋
            蜂蜜(怒气冲冲):厕所,今天你是10000度近视眼镜找不到了吗
            厕所(自在的抿了抿嘴):西澳的小TS可真美味啊





            IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端38楼2025-02-01 16:46
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              我觉得有必要投个票了
              觉得我鸭疯的打1
              略鸭的打2
              正常的打3
              低估的打4
              去世的打5


              IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端39楼2025-02-01 16:47
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                听说吞了,我重新发下
                开机气旋 可惜各大机构趋势 本人给了2.5ACE






                IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端40楼2025-02-01 18:35
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                  To the South Pacific
                  Yon were once the second among all,
                  just weaker than the ocean above.
                  Dozens of Cat5s came to life,
                  in the hot waters you generously provide.
                  But nowadays history is only history,
                  The pride of your past is like a story.
                  Though the waters still hot,
                  but it's as dead as a frog.
                  Not even a hurricane can you take birth,
                  when tens of majors come to earth.
                  South Indian was once an ant in your eye,
                  but it gets stronger when you die.
                  South Pacific, South Pacific
                  When will you agian become specific?




                  IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端42楼2025-02-02 11:39
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                    1. SHA02025 UNNAMED
                    OCEAN=SWIO
                    TIME=7D12H
                    ACE=2.4775
                    VMAX=40KT/1000MB






                    lz评价:开机气旋 可惜各大机构趋势 本人给了2.5ACE
                    cz评价:8月TS已经相当不易


                    IP属地:山东43楼2025-02-02 12:29
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                      2. SH012025 ANCHA
                      OCEAN=SWIO
                      TIME=5D0H
                      ACE=2.79
                      VMAX=60KT/990MB





                      lz评价:官方初璇 顶着高风切卷眼 但是厕所还是略有低估
                      cz评价:可爱而顽强的小家伙


                      IP属地:山东44楼2025-02-02 12:31
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                        3. SHA22025 UNNAMED
                        OCEAN=SWIO
                        TIME=1D0H
                        ACE=0
                        VMAX=30KT/1004MB




                        lz评价:2024年10月又一水货 但有T值1 风场闭合 本人将其认定为TD 还是不看好厕所区别对待
                        cz评价:感觉TS都有可能


                        IP属地:山东45楼2025-02-02 12:33
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                          4. SHA42025 UNNAMED
                          OCEAN=SWIO
                          TIME=3D12H
                          ACE=0.245
                          VMAX=35KT/1001MB





                          lz评价:十月南印正事母猪生仔 水货重重 该说不说 厕所又漏了一个TS
                          cz评价:nbcs的小家伙


                          IP属地:山东46楼2025-02-02 12:35
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                            5. SH022025 BHEKI
                            OCEAN=SWIO
                            TIME=10D6H
                            ACE=17.49
                            VMAX=120KT/940MB





                            lz评价:南印11月的巨作 好久没有南印11月C4了
                            虽然有冷水装β的嫌疑,但标准的T6.0及风场扫描证明了它的C4身份
                            它一次又一次地卷眼,一次又一次遭遇冷水和风切的毒手,形容它的只能是早已泛滥的 励志 了
                            cz评价:11月南印冷水C4


                            IP属地:山东47楼2025-02-02 12:38
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                              6. SH032025 ROBYN
                              OCEAN=AUS
                              TIME=5D0H
                              ACE=2.085
                              VMAX=60KT/980MB






                              lz评价:西澳开门水
                              但也挺励志的 在死亡风切下卷出了云卷眼
                              但是Sar似乎有点疯
                              cz评价:不错的家伙,BOM醒一回


                              IP属地:山东48楼2025-02-02 12:40
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