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【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH232025

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SH, 23, 2025022518, , BEST, 0, 227S, 381E, 35, 995, TS, 34, NEQ, 135, 110, 0, 0, 1006, 270, 60, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, TRANSITIONED, shF52025 to sh232025,


IP属地:广东1楼2025-02-26 03:19回复
    2


    IP属地:美国来自Android客户端2楼2025-02-26 03:22
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      南半球今年数量要破30


      IP属地:美国来自手机贴吧3楼2025-02-26 04:51
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        1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11
        2.A POSITION 2025/02/25 AT 1800 UTC:
        WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.8 S / 38.0 E
        MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 2 KT
        3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 1.0/24 H
        4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 993 HPA
        5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
        1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
        12H: 2025/02/26 06 UTC: 23.5 S / 38.8 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
        TROPICAL STORM
        28 KT NE: 390 SE: 305 SW: 305 NW: 230
        34 KT NE: 185 SE: 175 SW: 100 NW: 120
        24H: 2025/02/26 18 UTC: 24.0 S / 39.7 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
        TROPICAL STORM
        28 KT NE: 370 SE: 295 SW: 445 NW: 280
        34 KT NE: 155 SE: 165 SW: 140 NW: 150
        48 KT NE: 55 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 65
        36H: 2025/02/27 06 UTC: 24.4 S / 40.8 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
        CYCLONE
        28 KT NE: 390 SE: 305 SW: 400 NW: 335
        34 KT NE: 165 SE: 175 SW: 185 NW: 185
        48 KT NE: 65 SE: 75 SW: 75 NW: 75
        64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 55 NW: 55
        48H: 2025/02/27 18 UTC: 24.8 S / 41.9 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
        CYCLONE
        28 KT NE: 345 SE: 295 SW: 285 NW: 325
        34 KT NE: 130 SE: 165 SW: 140 NW: 175
        48 KT NE: 65 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 75
        64 KT NE: 45 SE: 45 SW: 45 NW: 45
        60H: 2025/02/28 06 UTC: 25.0 S / 42.6 E, VENT MAX= 070 KT, TROPICAL
        CYCLONE
        28 KT NE: 315 SE: 270 SW: 360 NW: 325
        34 KT NE: 110 SE: 150 SW: 150 NW: 185
        48 KT NE: 65 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 85
        64 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 55 NW: 45
        72H: 2025/02/28 18 UTC: 25.1 S / 43.2 E, VENT MAX= 065 KT, TROPICAL
        CYCLONE
        28 KT NE: 295 SE: 285 SW: 295 NW: 260
        34 KT NE: 95 SE: 155 SW: 175 NW: 150
        48 KT NE: 65 SE: 75 SW: 85 NW: 65
        64 KT NE: 55 SE: 45 SW: 75 NW: 55
        2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
        96H: 2025/03/01 18 UTC: 25.7 S / 43.8 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
        TROPICAL STORM
        28 KT NE: 335 SE: 305 SW: 250 NW: 195
        34 KT NE: 100 SE: 165 SW: 120 NW: 95
        48 KT NE: 55 SE: 65 SW: 65 NW: 45
        120H: 2025/03/02 18 UTC: 26.3 S / 44.7 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
        TROPICAL STORM
        28 KT NE: 380 SE: 285 SW: 250 NW: 165
        34 KT NE: 120 SE: 155 SW: 120 NW: 55


        IP属地:广东来自Android客户端4楼2025-02-26 04:57
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          IP属地:广东来自Android客户端5楼2025-02-26 04:57
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            随着23S升格为TS(并且19P Rae是SS),似乎创下了一个纪录:在ATCF系统里(JTWC),南半球首次有6个达到TS强度的(副)热带气旋在同一时间活动,相关数据来自ibtracs的文件。
            JTWC的官评确实不怎么可靠,不过也姑且看看。在过去的官评里,南半球曾经四次5旋共舞,分别是:
            1985年的Celestina、Eric、SH12、Nigel、Odette
            1986年的Erinesta、Filomena、Ima、June、Keli
            1989年的Hanitra-Leon、Hinano、Judy、SH16、Ivy
            1992年的Farida、Harriet-Heather、Esau、Ian、Gerda
            (北半球最高是8旋共舞:1992年,Roslyn、Seymour、Bonnie、Tina、Ted、Charley、Danielle、Val)


            IP属地:英国6楼2025-02-26 05:16
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              TPXS11 PGTW 252138
              A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (SE OF BEIRA)
              B. 25/2030Z
              C. 22.82S
              D. 37.59E
              E. FIVE/MET9
              F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
              G. IR/EIR
              H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .50 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
              YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO DT.
              I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
              25/1713Z 22.57S 37.60E GPMI
              TIMMERMAN


              IP属地:广东来自Android客户端7楼2025-02-26 06:00
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                升格还是晚了,上一张就能给,不过这玩意环流好大


                IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端8楼2025-02-26 06:08
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                  壮哉我大南半球!


                  IP属地:黑龙江来自iPhone客户端9楼2025-02-26 06:09
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                    TXXS26 KNES 252345
                    TCSSIO
                    A. 23S (NONAME)
                    B. 25/2315Z
                    C. 23.0S
                    D. 37.9E
                    E. THREE/MET-9
                    F. T2.5/2.5
                    G. IR/EIR/SWIR
                    H. REMARKS...6/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 2.5. SOLID ORGANIZATION
                    LAST 6 HR. 6 HR AVG GIVES A DT=2.7 SO CONSTRAINTS BROKEN. CONVECTIVE CLOUD
                    TOPS AS COLD AS -88 C. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW STEADILY IMPROVING ALQDS. MET=1.5
                    AND PT=2.0. FT BASED ON 6 HR AVG DT.
                    I. ADDL POSITIONS
                    NIL
                    ...KONON


                    IP属地:福建11楼2025-02-26 08:12
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                      马达加斯加命名Honde


                      IP属地:福建12楼2025-02-26 08:26
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                        BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 26/02/2025 AT 0000 UTC.
                        PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HONDE) 990 HPA
                        POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.0 S / 38.4 E


                        IP属地:福建13楼2025-02-26 08:36
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                          命名有一会了


                          IP属地:辽宁来自Android客户端14楼2025-02-26 08:38
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                            TPXS11 PGTW 260037
                            A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (SE OF BEIRA)
                            B. 25/2330Z
                            C. 23.00S
                            D. 38.35E
                            E. FIVE/MET9
                            F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
                            G. IR/EIR
                            H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .55 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
                            YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO PT.
                            I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
                            TIMMERMAN


                            IP属地:福建15楼2025-02-26 08:43
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                              IP属地:福建16楼2025-02-26 08:49
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