...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N166W 1013 MB MOVING E 40 KT AND RAPIDLY INTESIFYING.
FROM 40N TO 48N BETWEEN 167W AND 160W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8
TO 13 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N144W 994 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 300 NM S...360 SW...AND 120 NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50
KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N138W 980 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT. ELSEHWERE FROM 37N TO 45N BETWEEN 144W AND 155W
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. ALSO FROM 34N TO 46N BETWEEN
138W AND 162W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N133W 950 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND 120 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 75 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N132W 942 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 55 TO 75 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 50N E
OF 135W WINDS 35 TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ALSO FROM 32N TO
52N E OF 145W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...EXCEPT S OF
LOW CENTER E OF 140W SEAS 12 TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N132W 950 MB. WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 40N
AND E OF A LINE FROM 40N154W TO 52N155W TO 59N140W WINDS 25 TO
40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ALSO WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE FROM
40N125W TO 32N142W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

ICON预报39小时后941

几家区域模式都给出了相似的上望强度

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N157W 1014 MB MOVING E 40 KT AND RAPIDLY INTESIFYING.
FROM 40N TO 48N BETWEEN 165W AND 155W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8
TO 13 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N144W 994 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 300 NM S...360 SW...AND 120 NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50
KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N138W 980 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 180 NM S AND 120 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS
12 TO 24 FT. ELSEHWERE FROM 37N TO 45N BETWEEN 144W AND 155W
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N133W 950 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND 120 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 75 KT. SEAS 20 TO 30 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 48N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 40 TO 55
KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. ALSO FROM 33N TO 52N BETWEEN 125W AND 150W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 20 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N132W 940 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 50N E
OF 135W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N132W 958 MB. WITHIN 360 NM OF LOW
CENTER WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N
TO 58N E OF 147W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO
WITHIN 1080 NM S...1200 NM W...AND 960 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

GFS新报明天上午941hPa

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N149W 1011 MB MOVING E 35 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
FROM 37N TO 48N BETWEEN 144W AND 158W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8
TO 13 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N144W 994 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 300 NM S...360 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO
50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N138W 980 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 240 NM S AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 12
TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 45N BETWEEN 131W AND 148W WINDS
35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N132W 943 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 51N E
OF 139W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 16 TO 28 FT. ALSO FROM 33N TO 53N
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST S OF LOW CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N132W 962 MB. WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW CENTER
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 58N E
OF 153W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO WITHIN 1200 NM
S...1200 NM W...AND 720 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

不是很清楚北太平洋温带气旋的降压速度纪录是多少，24小时降压超过60hPa的在我印象里好像就2014年“鹦鹉”转化后的温带气旋（24小时内从984hPa下降到924hPa，巅峰920hPa），降压速度更快的印象里最近几年应该没有了。总而言之，这个温带气旋预报的气压还算不错，风速不大突出，但是降压速度将会是历史性的，相当于温带气旋中的Forrest。

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 41N143W 1000 MB MOVING E 35 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 240 NM S...360 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 44N BETWEEN 135W
AND 154W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 43N137W 981 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 240 NM S AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 12
TO 24 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N133W 953 MB AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65
KT. SEAS 14 TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N132W 943 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 60 TO 75 KT. SEAS 25 TO 39 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 52N E OF 140W WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 18 TO
28 FT. ALSO FROM 33N TO 55N E OF 155W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12
TO 22 FT...HIGHEST S OF LOW CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N134W 968 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW CENTER
WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 56N E
OF 151W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 40N125W TO 31N139W WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT.

气压比6小时前下降了14hPa，ERI启动！

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 43N137W 981 MB MOVING NE 15 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 300 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21
FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM E AND S...660 NM SW...AND 600 NM W
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 34N
TO 50N BETWEEN 140W AND 160W...AND FROM 34N TO 52N BETWEEN 140W
AND 124W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. ALSO FROM 30N TO 36N
E OF 122W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N132W 941 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S AND 180 NM
N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 18 TO 32 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N133W 948 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND N...300
NM E...AND 300 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 32
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NW...420 NM NE...AND 480 NM SE AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO FROM 30N TO
50N BETWEEN 157W AND A LINE FROM 30N129W AND 36N122W...AND E OF A
LINE FROM 50N155W AND 58N144W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 20
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 660 NM S QUADRANT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N137W 972 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S...180 NM
W...240 NM N...AND 180 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 57N BETWEEN 151W AND A LINE FROM
30N128W AND 36N122W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT...HIGHEST
WITHIN 180 NM W AND 300 NM N SEMICRICLES.