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回复:【讨论风暴】东北太平洋NP07-20241118

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OPC认定12Z气压981hPa,6小时降压19hPa,12小时降压33hPa,已经达到炸弹低气压标准。按照预报12小时后该温气将达到巅峰941hPa,24小时降压幅度将达63hPa


IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端43楼2024-11-20 00:51
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    IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端45楼2024-11-20 01:29
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      太标致了










      IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端46楼2024-11-20 06:08
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        00Z 1014hPa
        06Z 1000hPa
        12Z 981hPa
        18Z 955hPa
        18小时降压59hPa


        IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端47楼2024-11-20 06:11
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          ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
          .LOW 45N132W 955 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICRICLE
          WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 15 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM
          NE...300 NM SE...420 NM S...360 NM SW...AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS
          WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER. ALSO
          WITHIN 420 NM NE...540 NM SE...720 NM S...840 NM SW...720 NM
          W...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22
          FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER. OTHERWISE S OF 50N TO A LINE FROM
          38N160W TO 31N140W TO 33N130W TO 38N123W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
          9 TO 17 FT.
          .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N132W 956 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND N...300
          NM E...AND 240 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 31
          FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM NW...420 NM NE...AND 480 NM SE AND SW
          QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ALSO FROM 30N TO
          60N BETWEEN 156W AND A LINE FROM 30N128W AND 36N121W WINDS 25 TO
          35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 720 NM SE QUADRANT.
          .48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX WITH FIRST LOW 49N139W 980 MB AND
          SECOND NEW LOW 38N134W 1000 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E AND SE...150 NM
          SW...240 NM NW...AND 240 NM N QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS
          14 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 55N BETWEEN 152W AND A LINE
          FROM 30N128W AND 36N122W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.


          IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端48楼2024-11-20 06:17
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            基本达到巅峰










            IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端56楼2024-11-20 08:50
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              IP属地:吉林57楼2024-11-20 09:34
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                有浮标在中心外围的大风区内测得950hPa的海压,目前该温气中心气压可能达到了940hPa左右


                IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端58楼2024-11-20 09:59
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                  OPC给00Z气压945hPa,感觉给得保守了,毕竟实测没进中心类眼都有950hPa了(随后数据无了)


                  IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端65楼2024-11-20 11:51
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                    ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
                    .LOW 46N132W 945 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICRICLE
                    AND 180 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 20 TO 33 FT.
                    ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE...300 NM SE...360 NM S...420 NM
                    SW...AND 240 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 TO 25
                    FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER. ALSO FROM 33N TO 53N E OF 154W WINDS
                    25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER.
                    .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N132W 963 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW CENTER
                    WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 42N TO 58N W
                    OF 147W...FROM 36N TO 54N BETWEEN 147W AND 154W...AND WITHIN 120
                    NM OF A FRONT FROM 39N124W TO 33N135W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12
                    TO 24 FT.
                    .48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 48N139W 981 MB AND
                    SECOND NEW LOW 41N132W 994 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND SW AND 240 NM
                    N AND NW QUADRANTS OF FIRST LOW WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24
                    FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 53N BETWEEN 150W AND A LINE FROM
                    52N132W TO 45N136W TO 43N125W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18
                    FT.


                    IP属地:吉林68楼2024-11-20 12:55
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                      OPC貌似有些低估了,18Z风场已经有70kt旗子,但那会儿OPC才给65kt。目前OPC给70kt,实况应该更强一些。


                      IP属地:吉林69楼2024-11-20 13:02
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                        中午的风场扫到了 不少75kt风旗,考虑到没有完全扫到最大风区+已经过巅峰,巅峰可能有80kt左右


                        IP属地:吉林72楼2024-11-20 16:36
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                          IP属地:吉林73楼2024-11-20 16:46
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                            ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
                            .LOW 47N132W 944 MB MOVING N 05 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICRICLE
                            AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 25 TO 40 FT.
                            ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 12
                            TO 25 FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER. ALSO FROM 32N TO 57N E OF 158W
                            WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST SW OF CENTER.
                            .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N133W 970 MB. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW CENTER
                            WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 44N TO 56N W
                            OF 145W...FROM 35N TO 54N BETWEEN 145W AND 153W...AND WITHIN 180
                            NM OF A FRONT FROM 39N125W TO 32N134W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12
                            TO 22 FT.
                            .48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 47N140W 984 MB AND
                            SECOND NEW LOW 43N130W 990 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 180
                            NM N QUADRANTS OF FIRST LOW AND WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 360
                            NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS OF SECOND LOW WINDS 35 TO 45 KT.
                            SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 52N BETWEEN 134W AND 149W
                            AND FROM 30N TO 50N BETWEEN 122W AND 134W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
                            9 TO 18 FT.


                            IP属地:吉林80楼2024-11-20 21:57
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                              ...STORM WARNING...
                              .COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 48N132W 950 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN
                              240 NM NW AND NE...300 NM SE...AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 40
                              TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM SE...480 NM
                              SW...600 NM NW...AND 360 NM NE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
                              10 TO 20 FT...HIGHEST S OF CENTER. ALSO WITHIN 840 NM SE...1080
                              NM S AND W...780 NM NW...AND 480 NM N AND E QUADANTS WINDS 25 TO
                              35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
                              .24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 50N136W 974 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
                              W...240 NM N AND NE...AND 180 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT.
                              SEAS 12 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 57N E OF 152W WINDS 25 TO
                              35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
                              .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N143W 989 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICRICLE
                              WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 40N TO 52N
                              BETWEEN 140W AND 150W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.


                              IP属地:吉林来自Android客户端83楼2024-11-21 00:40
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