塌塌开！

高层形态好了不少

现在看上去像中眼，另外21S尾流瞩目

TPPS12 PGTW 250248
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/0230Z
C. 14.15S
D. 154.54E
E. THREE/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 28A/PBO LRG CDO/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 119NM IN
DIAMETER YIELDS A CF OF 3.0. ADDED 1.0 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF
4.0. MET YIELDS A 4.5. PT AGREES WITH DT. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

眼壁VHT喷发中

眼区逐渐清晰

南太三旋共舞没想到啊

很多都是偏的

TPPS12 PGTW 250555
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/0530Z
C. 14.64S
D. 154.14E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .90 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS A 4.0. PT AGREES WITH MET. DBO
PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
25/0308Z 14.23S 154.52E ATMS
PETERSEN

TXPS22 KNES 250614
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 25/0530Z
C. 14.5S
D. 154.5E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...A LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN LG RESULTS IN A DT OF 4.5. THE MET
IS 4.0 BASED ON A SLOWLY DEVELOPING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS 4.5. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE TO SLIGHT
UNCERTAINTY IN PRECISE CENTER LOCATION AS THE EMBEDDED MEASUREMENT FOR
LG WAS MET BY LESS THAN 2 NMI.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 4:45 pm EST on Tuesday 25 February 2025
At 4 pm AEST Tuesday, Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 2) with central
pressure 981 hPa was located
over the Coral Sea
near latitude 14.3 south longitude 154.6 east, which is about 950 km northeast
of Mackay and 1000 km east northeast of Townsville.
The cyclone is slow moving.
Alfred has been slow moving today, but is forecast to begin moving towards the
south southeast from tonight while continuing to intensify. There is high
confidence that Alfred will remain well off the Queensland coast until at least
late in the week. Beyond that, the track becomes highly uncertain and there is
a risk it will move closer to the central Queensland coast over the weekend.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Tuesday 25
February.

18P ALFRED 250225 0600 14.4S 154.2E SHEM 75 975