TPPS12 PGTW 240037
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 23/2330Z
C. 14.04S
D. 153.90E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 44A/PBO LARGE CDO/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT YIELD 3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

IDQ20065
Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 10:44 am EST on Monday 24 February 2025
At 10 am AEST Monday, Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Category 1) with central
pressure 991 hPa was located
over the Coral Sea
near latitude 14.0 south longitude 153.9 east, which is about 495 km east
northeast of Willis Island and 930 km east northeast of Cairns.
The cyclone is slow moving.
Tropical Cyclone Alfred is strengthening as it moves slowly eastwards in the
Coral Sea, well offshore of the north Queensland coast.
On Tuesday, Alfred is forecast to turn southeast and then south while
continuing to intensify through to the middle of the week. There is high
confidence that Alfred will remain well off the Queensland coast until at least
late in the week. Beyond that, the track becomes highly uncertain and there is
a risk it will move closer to the central Queensland coast over the weekend.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Monday 24 February.

18P ALFRED 250224 0000 14.0S 154.0E SHEM 60 986

等张底层看看

TXPS22 KNES 240041
TCSWSP
A. 18P (ALFRED)
B. 23/2330Z
C. 14.0S
D. 153.6E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.0/3.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY 7/10 BANDING ON A LOG-10
SCALE. DT=3.0 MET=2.5 PT=3.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT DUE A LACK OF
BANDING DEFINITION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER

一位熟悉的客人此时也来串门

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：宋佳凝 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 24 日 10 时
“艾弗雷德”向东偏北方向移动
时 间：24日08时（北京时）
海 域：澳大利亚附近海域
命 名：“艾弗雷德”，ALFRED
中心位置：南纬14.0度、东经154.0度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：11级（30米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：991百帕
参考位置：澳大利亚昆士兰州麦凯东北方向约940公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“艾弗雷德”由10级加强到11级
预报结论：“艾弗雷德”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向东偏北方向缓慢移动，强度变化不大。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月24日08时00分）

10~15kt中层风切

最后还是避免不了风切坏事

TPPS12 PGTW 240303
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (ALFRED)
B. 24/0230Z
C. 13.83S
D. 153.99E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. IRREGULAR CDO OF 140NM IN DIAMETER
YIELDS A CF OF 3.0. ADDED 1.0 FOR BF TO YIELD A DT OF 4.0. MET AND
PT YIELD 3.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
23/2317Z 13.80S 154.17E MMHS
PETERSEN

查完考研成绩过来看看，居然眼区已经出来了

随便看看