STORM WARNING 104 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 251330 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE SERU [SEH-ROO] CENTRE 988HPA CATEGORY 2 WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17.9 SOUTH 171.0 EAST AT 251200 UTC.
POSITION POOR.
REPEAT POSITION 17.9S 171.0E AT 251200 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. CYCLONE INTENSIFYING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO
60 KNOTS BY 260000 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
FORECAST POSITION NEAR 19.1S 171.5E AT 260000 UTC
AND NEAR 20.4S 172.2E AT 261200 UTC.
ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ
THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 101.

薯条正常发挥，提前高潮，向看看CPH6的
另外南太这三旋共舞挺瞩目的

按照反演，这位马上也要开始遭受无量红切了

TPPS13 PGTW 251538
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21P (SERU)
B. 25/1430Z
C. 17.74S
D. 171.08E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.0/5.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .8 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 4.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
25/0958Z 17.50S 171.02E MMHS
25/1015Z 17.37S 171.10E MMHS
25/1033Z 17.53S 170.95E TMPT
LINDGREN

TXPS43 PHFO 251718
TCSSP3
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1720 UTC TUE FEB 25 2025
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SERU (10F/21P)
B. 25/1700Z
C. 17.9S
D. 170.8E
E. HIMAWARI-9
F. 4.0/4.0/D1.5/24 HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...CONVECTION WRAPS 0.8 WITH WHITE ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET IS 4.0 AND PT IS 3.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
25/1016 18.2S 170.8E AMSR2.
$$

TROPICAL CYCLONE SERU [SEH-ROO] CENTRE 981HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S
171.2E AT 251800 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR AND VIS
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE
CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 55 KNOTS.
FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 260600 UTC 19.6S 171.7E MOV SSE AT 07 KT WITH 65
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 261800 UTC 20.9S 172.5E MOV SSE AT 07 KT WITH 65
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 270600 UTC 22.1S 173.4E MOV SSE AT 07 KT WITH 70
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 271800 UTC 22.8S 174.3E MOV SSE AT 07 KT WITH 70
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE

21P SERU 250225 1800 18.1S 171.3E SHEM 55 985
21P SERU 250225 1200 17.8S 171.2E SHEM 50 985
21P SERU 250225 0600 17.6S 171.1E SHEM 50 986

TPPS13 PGTW 251837
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21P (SERU)
B. 25/1730Z
C. 18.05S
D. 171.24E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .75 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO PT. BROKE
CI CONSTRAINTS.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

TXPS24 KNES 251810
TCSWSP
A. 21P (SERU)
B. 25/1730Z
C. 18.2S
D. 171.0E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR/PRXY
H. REMARKS...8/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. PT AGREES. MET IS
3.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

TPPS13 PGTW 252135
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21P (SERU)
B. 25/2030Z
C. 18.56S
D. 171.18E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/4.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .80 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 4.5. PT YIELDS 4.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

TXPS43 PHFO 252340
TCSSP3
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2340 UTC TUE FEB 25 2025
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SERU (10F/21P)
B. 25/2300Z
C. 19.6S
D. 170.0E
E. HIMAWARI-9
F. 5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EYE PATTERN LG SURROUNDED BY B 65 NM. -0.5 EYE ADJ
YIELDS A DT OF 5.0. MET AND PT ARE 4.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
25/1858Z SSMIS 19.0S 170.3E.
$$

TXPS24 KNES 252359
TCSWSP
A. 21P (SERU)
B. 25/2330Z
C. 18.9S
D. 171.6E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T3.5/3.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...8/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. 2126Z METOP-B PASS
SHOWS MOST DEEP CONVECTION S AND E OF CENTER. POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL
GOOD. MET=3.0 AND PT=3.5. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO IRREG/PULSING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KONON