TXPS42 PHFO 242345
TCSSP2
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2343 UTC MON FEB 24 2025
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE RAE (09F/94P)
B. 24/2300Z
C. 21.3S
D. 178.4W
E. GOES-18
F. 5.0/6.0/D1.0/24 HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS....LLCC EMBEDDED IN B YIELDS DT OF 5.0. PT AND MET ARE
4.5. FT BASED ON DT. CI HELD AT 6.0 FOR INITIAL WEAKENING.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
TS

TXPS23 KNES 250006
TCSWSP
A. 19P (RAE)
B. 24/2330Z
C. 21.9S
D. 178.9W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T5.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...CENTER IS EMBEDDED IN MG RESULTING IN A DT OF 4.0 MET =
5.5 AND PT = 5.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE PT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER

TPPS10 PGTW 250033
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (RAE)
B. 24/2330Z
C. 22.54S
D. 178.87W
E. FIVE/HMWRI9
F. T5.0/5.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 46A/PBO EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A
DT OF 4.5. MET YIELDS 5.0. PT YIELDS 4.5. DBO MET.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
DESSINO

19P RAE 250225 0000 22.8S 177.7W SHEM 85 968

STORM WARNING 096 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 250058 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAE [RAY] CENTRE 980HPA CATEGORY 2 WAS LOCATED NEAR
22.6 SOUTH 178.9 WEST AT 250000 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 22.6S 178.9W AT 250000 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH AT 13 KNOTS. CYCLONE INTENSIFYING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
FORECAST POSITION NEAR 24.8S 177.5W AT 251200 UTC
AND NEAR 27.0S 174.8W AT 260000 UTC.
ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ
THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 094.

FMSSL这不给澳3

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：柳龙生 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 25 日 10 时
“雷埃”向南偏东方向移动
时 间：25日08时（北京时）
海 域：南太平洋
命 名：“雷埃”，RAE
中心位置：南纬22.6度、西经178.9度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：11级（30米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：980百帕
参考位置：汤加努库阿洛法西偏南方向约415公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“雷埃”由10级加强到11级
预报结论：“雷埃”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向南偏东方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。

图1 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月25日08时00分）

南太大胜利

TPPS10 PGTW 250359
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (RAE)
B. 25/0230Z
C. 23.03S
D. 178.76W
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T2.5/3.5/W2.0/24HRS STT: W2.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. DENSE OVERCAST SHEARED 30NM
FROM LLCC YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET YEILDS A 3.5. PT YIELDS A 3.0.
DBO DT. BROKE CONSTRAINTS DUE TO EXTREME WEAKENING DUE TO SHEAR.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

18Z时的巅峰形态，这会儿应该可以摸到MH了

猛烈趋势

19P RAE 250225 0000 22.6S 178.8W SHEM 70 968