TXPS23 KNES 240029
TCSWSP
A. 19P (RAE)
B. 23/2330Z
C. 17.9S
D. 179.4W
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY A LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
AND EMBEDDED IN LG FOR A DT=4.5 AFTER SUBTRACTING 0.5 FOR AN EYE
ADJUSTMENT. MET=3.0 PT=3.5. THE FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS LIMITING
CHANGE OVER 12HRS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER

TPPS10 PGTW 240036
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (RAE)
B. 23/2330Z
C. 17.87S
D. 179.58W
E. THREE/HMWRI9
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. EYE EMBEDDED 32NM IN CDO
YIELDS AN E# OF 4.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 FOR A RAGGED EYE TO YIELD A DT
OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 3.5. PT YIELDS 4.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
SWANSON

19P RAE 250224 0000 17.9S 179.4W SHEM 60 978

STORM WARNING 084 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 240051 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE RAE [RAY] CENTRE 980HPA CATEGORY 2 WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8 SOUTH
179.5 WEST AT 240000 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 17.8S 179.5W at 240000 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH AT 13 KNOTS. CYCLONE INTENSIFYING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 60 KNOTS BY
250000 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
FORECAST POSITION NEAR 20.0S 179.6W AT 241200 UTC
AND NEAR 22.2S 179.2W AT 250000 UTC.
ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ
THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 082.

已经有C1水平

全球热带气旋监测公报
预报：宋佳凝 签发：向纯怡 2025 年 02 月 24 日 10 时
“雷埃”向偏南方向移动
时 间：24日08时（北京时）
海 域：南太平洋
命 名：“雷埃”，RAE
中心位置：南纬17.8度、西经179.5度
强度等级：二级热带气旋
最大风力：10级（25米/秒，相当于我国的强热带风暴级）
中心气压：980百帕
参考位置：斐济苏瓦偏东方向约225公里的洋面上
变化过程：过去24小时，“雷埃”由7级加强到10级
预报结论：“雷埃”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向偏南方向移动，强度变化不大。

图3 卫星红外监测图像（北京时间2025年02月24日08时00分）

TPPS10 PGTW 240308
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (RAE)
B. 24/0230Z
C. 18.32S
D. 179.39W
E. ONE/HMWRI9
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D1.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. MG EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR LG TO YIELD
A DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
PETERSEN

形态不错